Ekonomiya Prediction Markets
Interest rate, inflation, datos ng trabaho at mga kaganapang macro.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Ang presyo mula $0 hanggang $1 ay maaaring basahin bilang posibilidad: ang $0.62 ay humigit-kumulang 62%. Pagtataya ito ng merkado, hindi garantiya. Suriin ang mga tuntunin, volume, at liquidity bago mag-trade.
IPOs before 2027?
Anthropic: 70%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 66%
24h vol $6.6K · Ends Dis 9, 2026
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12?
Down: 54%
24h vol $6.4K · Ends Okt 12, 2026
Core CPI MoM - September 2026
0.2%: 49%
24h vol $5K · Ends Okt 15, 2026
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
>5.0%: 77%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Ene 21, 2027
September Inflation US - Monthly
0.6%: 48%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends Okt 15, 2026
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?
280M: 85%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends Nob 12, 2026
Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?
No: 96%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%: 77%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Dis 31, 2026
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 56%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends Ene 27, 2027
USD x Iranian rials End of December?
2.5 - 3.0M: 26%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Dis 31, 2026
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
1-2%: 91%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Peb 13, 2027
JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026
7.4M+: 33%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends Nob 3, 2026
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%: 96%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends Peb 1, 2027
USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2.8M+: 51%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends Nob 1, 2026
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 62%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends Nob 1, 2026
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change: 85%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends Okt 28, 2026
2026 World GDP Growth
3.1%: 31%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends May 1, 2027
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
25 bps increase: 54%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends Okt 28, 2026
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
30.0-34.9%: 61%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends Ene 11, 2027
Core CPI YoY - September 2026
2.4%: 40%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends Okt 15, 2026
Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting: 54%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends Ene 29, 2028
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%): 73%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends Peb 1, 2027
Price of Dozen Eggs in September?
$2.20 to $2.30: 54%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends Okt 15, 2026
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 78%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends Dis 31, 2026
October Unemployment Rate
4.2%: 37%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends Nob 6, 2026
Bank of Israel Decision in October?
No Change: 90%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends Okt 21, 2026
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.18%: 69%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends Nob 1, 2026
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change: 76%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends Nob 5, 2026
People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?
No Change: 89%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends Dis 31, 2026
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Apple: 70%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends Ene 1, 2027
Bank of Canada Decision in December?
No Change: 53%
24h vol $1K · Ends Dis 9, 2026
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.55%: 70%
24h vol $999.1 · Ends Nob 1, 2026
Bank of England decision in November?
25 bps increase: 89%
24h vol $916.9 · Ends Nob 5, 2026
Bank of Russia decision in December?
No change: 50%
24h vol $875.3 · Ends Dis 18, 2026
EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?
30M+: 96%
24h vol $856.1 · Ends Nob 1, 2026
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
4.3-4.6%: 73%
24h vol $853 · Ends Okt 21, 2026
Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
-0.3% to -0.1%: 27%
24h vol $826.9 · Ends Dis 2, 2026