Så här använder du kelly-kalkylator
- Enter the share price, your probability estimate and your total bankroll.
- Compare full, half and quarter Kelly position sizes.
- Most people who use Kelly choose a fraction of it to reduce swings.
Vad resultatet betyder för dig
The Kelly criterion is a formula for sizing a position based on your edge: the bigger the gap between your probability and the market price, the larger the suggested stake. Full Kelly is aggressive and very sensitive to estimation errors, which is why many traders use half or quarter Kelly. If the calculator suggests zero, it means you have no edge at that price. Use it as a guide to bankroll management, never as a reason to risk money you cannot afford to lose.