U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
{name}: odds i realtid
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $201.6K · Liquidity $23.4K
Regler för hur utfallet avgörs
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Så tolkar du oddsen
Varje pris ligger mellan 0 och 1 dollar och kan tolkas som den sannolikhet marknaden tillskriver ett utfall: 0,62 dollar motsvarar ungefär 62 %. Priserna ändras vid varje affär, så de speglar marknadsdeltagarnas samlade bedömning och är ingen garanti. Innan du handlar bör du kontrollera reglerna ovan för hur utfallet avgörs, handelsvolymen och likviditeten. Riskera bara pengar du har råd att förlora.
Fler marknader om Politik

Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro: 76%
24h vol $117.4K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 81%
24h vol $104.6K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31: 59%
24h vol $79.8K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No: 98%
24h vol $56.6K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Trump out as President before 2027?
No: 95%
24h vol $52.4K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Yes: 98%
24h vol $26.4K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Majid Takht-Ravanchi: 33%
24h vol $22.3K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Next Press Secretary announced by...?
December 31: 62%
24h vol $9.8K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31, 2026: 33%
24h vol $14.6K · Ends 31 dec. 2026

US imports Russian diesel by...?
December 31: 86%
24h vol $10.6K · Ends 1 dec. 2026

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Yes: 73%
24h vol $26K · Ends 4 nov. 2026

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤47: 40%
24h vol $241.9K · Ends 3 nov. 2026

