Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
{name}: odds i realtid
Jimmy Kimmel
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $8.6K · Liquidity —
Tucker Carlson
- Yes61%
- No40%
Volume $8.2K · Liquidity $43.6
Marjorie Taylor Greene
- Yes68%
- No33%
Volume $8.1K · Liquidity $84.1
Candace Owens
- Yes25%
- No75%
Volume $6.8K · Liquidity $320.4
Ilhan Omar
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $5.8K · Liquidity —
Barack Obama
- Yes97%
- No4%
Volume $5.4K · Liquidity $2.1K
Chuck Schumer
- Yes54%
- No46%
Volume $5.4K · Liquidity $81.4
Hillary Clinton
- Yes51%
- No50%
Volume $4.7K · Liquidity $320.5
Hakeem Jeffries
- Yes67%
- No34%
Volume $4.5K · Liquidity $34
Zohran Mamdani
- Yes19%
- No81%
Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $485.3
Kamala Harris
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $3.9K · Liquidity —
Gavin Newsom
- Yes67%
- No33%
Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $248.4
Hasan Piker
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $3.5K · Liquidity —
Jon Ossoff
- Yes95%
- No5%
Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $7.7K
Joe Biden
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $3K · Liquidity —
Ken Paxton
- Yes24%
- No77%
Volume $3K · Liquidity $141.6
Kaitlan Collins
- Yes89%
- No11%
Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $944.8
Pope Leo XIV
- Yes3%
- No98%
Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $202.5
Thomas Massie
- Yes26%
- No75%
Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $23.2
Jerome Powell
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $2.2K · Liquidity —
Friedrich Merz
- Yes17%
- No83%
Volume $2K · Liquidity $161.9
Mark Carney
- Yes59%
- No42%
Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $451.9
J.D. Vance
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $239.2
Abdul El-Sayed
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $1.7K · Liquidity —
Vladimir Putin
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $316.7
Elizabeth Warren
- Yes67%
- No34%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $63.9
Kathy Hochul
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity —
Nicolás Maduro
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $1K · Liquidity —
Emmanuel Macron
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $933.8 · Liquidity $29.9
Benjamin Netanyahu
- Yes13%
- No88%
Volume $905.5 · Liquidity $148.5
James Talarico
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $631.2 · Liquidity —
Mike Rogers
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $529.3 · Liquidity $134.9
Xi Jinping
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $409.2 · Liquidity $328
Letitia James
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $356.5 · Liquidity —
Elon Musk
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $283.7 · Liquidity $118.6
J.B. Pritzker
- Yes70%
- No30%
Volume $278.8 · Liquidity $134.6
Masoud Pezeshkian
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $214 · Liquidity $193.6
Kevin Warsh
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $176.4 · Liquidity $628.8
Andy Burnham
- Yes9%
- No92%
Volume $51.8 · Liquidity $112.2
Dario Amodei
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $31.1 · Liquidity $135
Stephen Colbert
- Yes17%
- No84%
Volume $6.1 · Liquidity $66.7
Regler för hur utfallet avgörs
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Så tolkar du oddsen
Varje pris ligger mellan 0 och 1 dollar och kan tolkas som den sannolikhet marknaden tillskriver ett utfall: 0,62 dollar motsvarar ungefär 62 %. Priserna ändras vid varje affär, så de speglar marknadsdeltagarnas samlade bedömning och är ingen garanti. Innan du handlar bör du kontrollera reglerna ovan för hur utfallet avgörs, handelsvolymen och likviditeten. Riskera bara pengar du har råd att förlora.
Fler marknader om Kultur

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?
Flávio Bolsonaro: 84%
24h vol $4K · Ends 31 okt. 2026

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?
Pipeline: 97%
24h vol $13.8K · Ends 13 okt. 2026

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No: 68%
24h vol $19.7K · Ends 1 aug. 2027

"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
150 - 160m: 96%
24h vol $12.2K · Ends 31 okt. 2026

Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?
Yes: 60%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends 1 nov. 2026

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
1000+: 88%
24h vol $18.2K · Ends 1 nov. 2026

"Wildwood" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
85+: 97%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends 26 okt. 2026

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
200-219: 17%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends 23 okt. 2026

"Godzilla Minus Zero" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
70+: 99%
24h vol $4K · Ends 9 nov. 2026

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 24
The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore: 96%
24h vol $16.2K · Ends 21 okt. 2026

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?
200-219: 16%
24h vol $45.5K · Ends 20 okt. 2026

"Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office
25-30m: 46%
24h vol $13.1K · Ends 18 okt. 2026

