Anthropic lab leak by...?
{name}: odds i sanntid
June 30, 2027
- Yes10%
- No91%
Volume $122.2K · Liquidity $6.2K
December 31, 2026
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $29.6K · Liquidity $38.8K
Regler for avgjørelse av utfallet
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required. Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Slik tolker du disse oddsene
Hver pris ligger mellom 0 og 1 dollar og kan tolkes som sannsynligheten markedet tillegger et utfall: 0,62 dollar tilsvarer omtrent 62 %. Prisene endrer seg med hver handel, så de gjenspeiler markedsdeltakernes samlede anslag, ikke en garanti. Før du handler, bør du sjekke reglene for avgjørelse av utfallet ovenfor, handelsvolumet og likviditeten. Ikke risiker mer penger enn du har råd til å tape.
Flere markeder om Teknologi

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
45%+: 89%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends 1. juli 2027

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
40%+: 90%
24h vol $2K · Ends 30. juni 2027

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Viking Therapeutics: 14%
24h vol $6.8K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Microsoft: 33%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+: 31%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?
OpenAI: 79%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026: 18%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
No: 86%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+: 77%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+: 35%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+: 64%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+: 81%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

