Økonomi Prediction Markets
Renter, inflasjon, jobbtall og makrohendelser.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Hver pris ligger mellom 0 og 1 dollar og kan tolkes som sannsynligheten markedet tillegger et utfall: 0,62 dollar tilsvarer omtrent 62 %. Prisene endrer seg med hver handel, så de gjenspeiler markedsdeltakernes samlede anslag, ikke en garanti. Før du handler, bør du sjekke reglene for avgjørelse av utfallet ovenfor, handelsvolumet og likviditeten. Ikke risiker mer penger enn du har råd til å tape.

Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting: 54%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends 29. jan. 2028

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
1-2%: 91%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends 13. feb. 2027

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026
43.0 to 45.9: 51%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends 23. okt. 2026

EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?
30M+: 91%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 1. des. 2026

Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change: 84%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 28. okt. 2026

3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 88%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 1. nov. 2026

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 66%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends 28. jan. 2027

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 79%
24h vol $2K · Ends 31. des. 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026
7.4M+: 29%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 3. nov. 2026

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 61%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 1. nov. 2026

USD x Iranian rials End of December?
3.0 - 3.5M: 28%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 31. des. 2026

Price of Dozen Eggs in September?
$2.20 to $2.30: 55%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 15. okt. 2026

Bank of England decision in November?
25 bps increase: 90%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends 5. nov. 2026

Bank of Russia decision in December?
No change: 50%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 18. des. 2026

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%: 61%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

October Unemployment Rate
4.2%: 37%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 6. nov. 2026

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
≥3.0%: 65%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 30. okt. 2026

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change: 75%
24h vol $981 · Ends 5. nov. 2026

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 93%
24h vol $917.9 · Ends 1. nov. 2026

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Apple: 69%
24h vol $911.2 · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Bank of Israel Decision in October?
No Change: 88%
24h vol $897 · Ends 21. okt. 2026

USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2.8M+: 65%
24h vol $894.3 · Ends 1. nov. 2026

What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?
$407K - $411K: 20%
24h vol $856.2 · Ends 11. jan. 2027

Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
-0.3% to -0.1%: 27%
24h vol $846.9 · Ends 2. des. 2026

Core CPI YoY - September 2026
2.4%: 42%
24h vol $842.1 · Ends 15. okt. 2026

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Yes: 76%
24h vol $770.5 · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
0.2 to 0.3%: 44%
24h vol $758.8 · Ends 30. okt. 2026

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
No: 98%
24h vol $741 · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Reserve Bank of India decision in December
25 bps increase: 68%
24h vol $727.8 · Ends 4. des. 2026

Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
2.5-3.0%: 27%
24h vol $688.2 · Ends 30. okt. 2026

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 63%
24h vol $630.7 · Ends 27. jan. 2027

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
3.5–3.9%: 57%
24h vol $616.7 · Ends 21. jan. 2027

