Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
{name}: odds i sanntid
December 31, 2026
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $293.4K · Liquidity $21.3K
December 31, 2027
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $90.3K · Liquidity $11.8K
December 31, 2028
- Yes36%
- No65%
Volume $60.8K · Liquidity $8.7K
Regler for avgjørelse av utfallet
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that one of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI. A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that a problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
Slik tolker du disse oddsene
Hver pris ligger mellom 0 og 1 dollar og kan tolkes som sannsynligheten markedet tillegger et utfall: 0,62 dollar tilsvarer omtrent 62 %. Prisene endrer seg med hver handel, så de gjenspeiler markedsdeltakernes samlede anslag, ikke en garanti. Før du handler, bør du sjekke reglene for avgjørelse av utfallet ovenfor, handelsvolumet og likviditeten. Ikke risiker mer penger enn du har råd til å tape.
Flere markeder om Kultur

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 4%
24h vol $180K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
Film U: 50%
24h vol $9.7K · Ends 1. juli 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner
Anne Hathaway: 59%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends 1. juli 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Actor Z: 50%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends 1. juli 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Actor AC: 50%
24h vol $5K · Ends 1. juli 2027

Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
Jay Z: 95%
24h vol $23.9K · Ends 1. apr. 2027

#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?
Movie V: 50%
24h vol $4K · Ends 1. apr. 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
The Odyssey: 98%
24h vol $11.7K · Ends 15. mars 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations
La Nieve - The Black Ball: 89%
24h vol $10.9K · Ends 15. mars 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations
Paul Giamatti: 92%
24h vol $10.1K · Ends 15. mars 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations
Anne Hathaway: 89%
24h vol $9.8K · Ends 15. mars 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
Matt Damon: 91%
24h vol $9.8K · Ends 15. mars 2027

