Dunia Prediction Markets
Geopolitik dan peristiwa antarabangsa.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Setiap harga dari $0 hingga $1 boleh dibaca sebagai kebarangkalian: $0.62 bermaksud kira-kira 62%. Ia anggaran pasaran, bukan jaminan. Semak peraturan, volum dan kecairan sebelum berdagang.
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 40%
24h vol $723.6K · Ends 19 Apr 2027
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 45%
24h vol $384.4K · Ends 28 Okt 2026
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 87%
24h vol $264.7K · Ends 26 Okt 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 83%
24h vol $222.7K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 15: 97%
24h vol $161.7K · Ends 31 Dis 2026
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 24%
24h vol $85.5K · Ends 3 Jan 2027
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
24h vol $66.6K · Ends 1 Jul 2027
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $62.1K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
24h vol $58.4K · Ends 26 Okt 2026
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31: 13%
24h vol $48.3K · Ends 31 Dis 2026
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 41%
24h vol $47.6K · Ends 1 Nov 2026
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 7%
24h vol $44K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $39.6K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No: 95%
24h vol $30.1K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 95%
24h vol $26.4K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 89%
24h vol $20.7K · Ends 26 Okt 2026
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 78%
24h vol $20.3K · Ends 4 Nov 2026
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 46%
24h vol $19.2K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
24h vol $18.3K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 30%
24h vol $18K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31: 25%
24h vol $17.6K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No: 72%
24h vol $16.1K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 82%
24h vol $15.2K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 36%
24h vol $14.8K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 96%
24h vol $13.6K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?
No meeting by December 31, 2027: 83%
24h vol $13K · Ends 1 Jan 2028
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 13: 92%
24h vol $12.2K · Ends 1 Nov 2026
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $12.2K · Ends 20 Okt 2026
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
24h vol $12K · Ends 1 Jul 2027
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
No: 97%
24h vol $11.6K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Druzkhivka: 36%
24h vol $10.9K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
24h vol $10.2K · Ends 26 Okt 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 14%
24h vol $9.8K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 88%
24h vol $9.7K · Ends 31 Dis 2026
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
25-29: 56%
24h vol $9.4K · Ends 1 Nov 2026
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 77%
24h vol $8.9K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person I: 50%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends 1 Mac 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
Person W: 50%
24h vol $7.8K · Ends 1 Mac 2027
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
New pandemic in 2026?
No: 95%
24h vol $7.5K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 81%
24h vol $7K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?
No: 94%
24h vol $6.8K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
No Next Chancellor before 2028: 62%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends 1 Jan 2028
Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?
December 31: 28%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends 31 Dis 2026
Spain General Election Winner
PP: 85%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends 30 Nov 2026
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
Kuomintang (KMT): 82%
24h vol $6K · Ends 29 Nov 2026
Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Person S: 50%
24h vol $5.4K · Ends 1 Mac 2027
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
Person W: 50%
24h vol $5K · Ends 1 Mac 2027