Politik Prediction Markets
Pilihan raya, undang-undang dan peristiwa politik mengikut harga pasaran.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Setiap harga dari $0 hingga $1 boleh dibaca sebagai kebarangkalian: $0.62 bermaksud kira-kira 62%. Ia anggaran pasaran, bukan jaminan. Semak peraturan, volum dan kecairan sebelum berdagang.
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
20-24: 43%
24h vol $24.2K · Ends 28 Okt 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No: 99%
24h vol $24K · Ends 1 Nov 2026
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?
120-139: 45%
24h vol $23.4K · Ends 13 Okt 2026
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: 59%
24h vol $21.4K · Ends 4 Nov 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
No: 94%
24h vol $20.7K · Ends 1 Dis 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará
Lula: 82%
24h vol $20K · Ends 26 Okt 2026
NY-23 House Election Winner
Nick Langworthy (R): 96%
24h vol $18.3K · Ends 4 Nov 2026
GA-11 House Election Winner
John Cowan (R): 96%
24h vol $16.6K · Ends 4 Nov 2026
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 31: 52%
24h vol $16.4K · Ends 31 Dis 2026
OH-14 House Election Winner
David Joyce (R): 95%
24h vol $16.1K · Ends 4 Nov 2026
Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?
December 31: 11%
24h vol $14.8K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No: 76%
24h vol $14.5K · Ends 4 Nov 2026
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
Olivia Chow: 66%
24h vol $13.4K · Ends 27 Okt 2026
Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?
No Hormuz Agreement; R Senate: 31%
24h vol $13.3K · Ends 4 Nov 2026
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D): 62%
24h vol $12.5K · Ends 4 Nov 2026
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
No: 94%
24h vol $12.2K · Ends 1 Nov 2026
Alabama Governor Election Winner
Tommy Tuberville (R): 94%
24h vol $12.2K · Ends 4 Nov 2026
Arizona Governor Election Winner
Katie Hobbs (D): 88%
24h vol $11.9K · Ends 4 Nov 2026
Trump out as President before 2027?
No: 96%
24h vol $11.7K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?
Yes: 92%
24h vol $11.5K · Ends 4 Nov 2026
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
November 30: 57%
24h vol $11.3K · Ends 30 Nov 2026
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31, 2026: 46%
24h vol $11.1K · Ends 31 Dis 2026
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
December 31: 23%
24h vol $10.4K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?
140-159: 26%
24h vol $10.3K · Ends 16 Okt 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?
No: 99%
24h vol $10.3K · Ends 1 Nov 2026
HI-02 House Election Winner
Jill Tokuda (D): 96%
24h vol $10.2K · Ends 4 Nov 2026
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by...?
December 31: 79%
24h vol $10.1K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Pete Ricketts (R): 73%
24h vol $9.9K · Ends 4 Nov 2026
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
47–49 and 193–207: 25%
24h vol $9.8K · Ends 4 Nov 2026
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Steve Witkoff: 42%
24h vol $9.5K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad
Lula: 68%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends 26 Okt 2026
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
No Meeting by December 31: 50%
24h vol $9K · Ends 31 Dis 2026
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le Pen: 89%
24h vol $8K · Ends 19 Apr 2027
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: 57%
24h vol $8K · Ends 4 Nov 2026
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate: 51%
24h vol $7.8K · Ends 4 Nov 2026
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
No: 78%
24h vol $7.8K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Chris Pappas (D): 89%
24h vol $7.5K · Ends 4 Nov 2026
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?
December 31: 39%
24h vol $7.3K · Ends 1 Jan 2027
Idaho Senate Election Winner
Jim Risch (R): 95%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends 4 Nov 2026
NM-02 House Election Winner
Gabe Vasquez (D): 93%
24h vol $7K · Ends 4 Nov 2026
NY-24 House Election Winner
Claudia Tenney (R): 97%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends 4 Nov 2026
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?
200+: 19%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends 20 Okt 2026
WI-05 House Election Winner
Scott Fitzgerald (R): 97%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends 4 Nov 2026