Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
{name}: odds langsung
Hike–Hike–Hike
- Yes11%
- No89%
Volume $81.3K · Liquidity $46.3K
Hike–Pause–Pause
- Yes20%
- No81%
Volume $63K · Liquidity $45.6K
Hike–Pause–Hike
- Yes62%
- No39%
Volume $55.9K · Liquidity $30.9K
Hike–Hike–Pause
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $42.8K · Liquidity $49K
Other
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $20.5K · Liquidity $46.6K
Pause–Pause–Pause
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $15.6K · Liquidity —
Pause–Hike–Pause
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.7K · Liquidity —
Pause–Pause–Hike
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity —
Pause–Hike–Hike
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2K · Liquidity —
Peraturan penyelesaian
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
Cara membaca odds
Setiap harga dari $0 hingga $1 boleh dibaca sebagai kebarangkalian: $0.62 bermaksud kira-kira 62%. Ia anggaran pasaran, bukan jaminan. Semak peraturan, volum dan kecairan sebelum berdagang.
Lebih banyak pasaran Ekonomi

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 56%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends 27 Jan 2027

Swiss National Bank decision in December?
No Change: 73%
24h vol $23.6K · Ends 10 Dis 2026

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 76%
24h vol $63.7K · Ends 10 Dis 2026

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 79%
24h vol $12.3K · Ends 10 Dis 2026

US recession by end of 2026?
No: 93%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends 31 Dis 2026

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%: 77%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends 31 Dis 2026

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $27.1K · Ends 1 Jan 2027

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 60%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 1 Nov 2026

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.18%: 62%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends 1 Nov 2026

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.55%: 74%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 1 Nov 2026

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.73%: 47%
24h vol $845.3 · Ends 1 Nov 2026

Fed Decision in October?
No change: 80%
24h vol $1.1M · Ends 29 Okt 2026

