Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?
{name}: tikimybės realiuoju laiku
Ra'am
- Yes30%
- No71%
Volume $16.3K · Liquidity $2K
Noam
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $9.2K · Liquidity $20.2K
Likud
- Yes35%
- No65%
Volume $4.9K · Liquidity $27.7K
Yashar
- Yes38%
- No62%
Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $36.1K
Joint List
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $43.1K
Amcha Yisrael
- Yes30%
- No70%
Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $24.5K
The Democrats
- Yes45%
- No56%
Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $403.5
United Torah Judaism
- Yes40%
- No61%
Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $627.2
New Economic Party / The Reservists
- Yes39%
- No61%
Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $311.6
Otzma Yehudit
- Yes36%
- No65%
Volume $2K · Liquidity $2.7K
RZP-Zehut
- Yes40%
- No60%
Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $1.7K
Yisrael Beiteinu
- Yes53%
- No48%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $30.5K
Together
- Yes41%
- No59%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $827.3
Shas
- Yes38%
- No63%
Volume $801.4 · Liquidity $26.9K
Blue and White
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $418.8 · Liquidity $41.8K
Baigties nustatymo taisyklės
Parliamentary elections to elect the 26th Knesset are scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party or electoral list is included in the first Israeli government formed after the 2026 Knesset election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve once the composition of the first Israeli government following the 2026 Knesset election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. The government is considered formed when the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party is considered part of the government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.
Kaip suprasti šias tikimybes
Kiekviena kaina svyruoja nuo 0 iki 1 JAV dolerio ir gali būti suprantama kaip rinkos dalyvių numanoma baigties tikimybė: 0,62 JAV dolerio reiškia maždaug 62 %. Kainos kinta su kiekvienu sandoriu, todėl jos atspindi bendrą rinkos dalyvių vertinimą, o ne garantiją. Prieš pradėdami prekiauti, peržiūrėkite aukščiau pateiktas baigties nustatymo taisykles, patikrinkite prekybos apimtį bei likvidumą ir rizikuokite tik tais pinigais, kuriuos galite sau leisti prarasti.
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