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ThePolyAcademy
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Meta's Watermelon released on...?

{name}: tikimybės realiuoju laiku

  • No release by October 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $22.9K · Liquidity —

  • October 20

    Closed
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    Volume $8.6K · Liquidity —

  • October 26

    Closed
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    Volume $7.4K · Liquidity —

  • October 28

    Closed
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    Volume $6.5K · Liquidity —

  • October 21

    • Yes0%
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    Volume $6.5K · Liquidity $10.2K

  • October 14

    Closed
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    • No100%

    Volume $6.1K · Liquidity —

  • October 12

    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $5.6K · Liquidity $4.5K

  • October 29

    Closed
    • Yes0%
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    Volume $5.1K · Liquidity —

  • October 23

    Closed
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    Volume $4.1K · Liquidity —

  • October 22

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    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity —

  • October 31

    Closed
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    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity —

  • October 18

    Closed
    • Yes0%
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    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity —

  • October 13

    Closed
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    • No100%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $0

  • October 24

    Closed
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    • No100%

    Volume $943.9 · Liquidity —

  • October 30

    Closed
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    Volume $931.7 · Liquidity —

  • October 15

    Closed
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    Volume $642.4 · Liquidity —

  • October 5

    Closed
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    Volume $363.1 · Liquidity —

  • October 10

    Closed
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    Volume $287.1 · Liquidity —

  • October 11

    Closed
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    Volume $244 · Liquidity —

  • October 7

    Closed
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    Volume $193.1 · Liquidity —

  • October 2

    Closed
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    • No100%

    Volume $161.1 · Liquidity —

  • October 4

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $152.7 · Liquidity —

  • On or prior to October 1

    Closed
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    • No100%

    Volume $135.3 · Liquidity —

  • October 9

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $121.1 · Liquidity —

  • October 17

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $112.1 · Liquidity —

  • October 16

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $112.1 · Liquidity —

  • October 8

    Closed
    • Yes0%
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    Volume $111.1 · Liquidity —

  • October 6

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $106.1 · Liquidity —

  • October 25

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $101.1 · Liquidity $0

  • October 3

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $101.1 · Liquidity —

  • October 19

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $97.1 · Liquidity $0

  • October 27

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $96.1 · Liquidity $0

Baigties nustatymo taisyklės

On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" ( Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon." This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Meta's "Watermelon" model, or a model identified as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Kaip suprasti šias tikimybes

Kiekviena kaina svyruoja nuo 0 iki 1 JAV dolerio ir gali būti suprantama kaip rinkos dalyvių numanoma baigties tikimybė: 0,62 JAV dolerio reiškia maždaug 62 %. Kainos kinta su kiekvienu sandoriu, todėl jos atspindi bendrą rinkos dalyvių vertinimą, o ne garantiją. Prieš pradėdami prekiauti, peržiūrėkite aukščiau pateiktas baigties nustatymo taisykles, patikrinkite prekybos apimtį bei likvidumą ir rizikuokite tik tais pinigais, kuriuos galite sau leisti prarasti.

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