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ThePolyAcademy
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Who will be arrested before 2027?

{name}: tikimybės realiuoju laiku

  • Anthony Fauci

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $199.3K · Liquidity $51.7K

  • Tom Homan

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $48.1K · Liquidity $13.7K

  • Gavin Newsom

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $42.7K · Liquidity $67.8K

  • Hillary Clinton

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $36.5K · Liquidity $104.8K

  • John Brennan

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $34.4K · Liquidity $14.8K

  • José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $31.5K · Liquidity $20.8K

  • Barack Obama

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $30.8K · Liquidity $98.6K

  • James Comey

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $20.7K · Liquidity $16.2K

  • Adam Schiff

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $18.9K · Liquidity $54.8K

  • James Clapper

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $9.6K · Liquidity $16.4K

  • Joe Biden

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $9.1K · Liquidity $35K

  • Letitia James

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $6.4K · Liquidity $20.2K

  • Loretta Lynch

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $69.6K

  • Benjamin Netanyahu

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $4.5K · Liquidity $21.6K

  • Mahmoud Khalil

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $457.1

  • Bill Clinton

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $87.6K

  • Lisa Cook

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $14.5K

  • Brandon Johnson

    • Yes8%
    • No93%

    Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $14.2K

  • Pam Bondi

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $19.3K

  • Susan Rice

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $20.6K

  • Lee Jun-seok

    • Yes47%
    • No53%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $70.5

  • Kash Patel

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $626.6 · Liquidity $30.6K

  • John Kerry

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $503.5 · Liquidity $47.9K

  • Candace Owens

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $342.3 · Liquidity $423.1

Baigties nustatymo taisyklės

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kaip suprasti šias tikimybes

Kiekviena kaina svyruoja nuo 0 iki 1 JAV dolerio ir gali būti suprantama kaip rinkos dalyvių numanoma baigties tikimybė: 0,62 JAV dolerio reiškia maždaug 62 %. Kainos kinta su kiekvienu sandoriu, todėl jos atspindi bendrą rinkos dalyvių vertinimą, o ne garantiją. Prieš pradėdami prekiauti, peržiūrėkite aukščiau pateiktas baigties nustatymo taisykles, patikrinkite prekybos apimtį bei likvidumą ir rizikuokite tik tais pinigais, kuriuos galite sau leisti prarasti.

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