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Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

{name}: tikimybės realiuoju laiku

  • Delcy Rodríguez

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $122.5K · Liquidity $34.3K

  • No Head of State

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $71.4K · Liquidity $31.3K

  • Vladimir Padrino López

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $68.5K · Liquidity $24.3K

  • María Corina Machado

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $55.5K · Liquidity $46.8K

  • Frank Donovan

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $42.3K · Liquidity $24.2K

  • Jorge Rodríguez

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $10.2K · Liquidity $39.8K

  • Richard Grenell

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $7.9K · Liquidity $25.2K

  • Diosdado Cabello Rondón

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $7.9K · Liquidity $35.3K

  • Marco Rubio

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $7.7K · Liquidity $34.6K

  • Evan Pettus

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $7.6K · Liquidity $24.8K

  • Nicolás Maduro

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $7K · Liquidity $46.4K

  • Dinorah Figuera

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $6.2K · Liquidity $33.5K

  • Edmundo González

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $5.5K · Liquidity $22K

  • Dan Caine

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $21K

  • Donald Trump

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $24.2K

  • Pete Hegseth

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $23.3K

  • Person Y

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Z

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person O

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person T

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person U

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person V

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person W

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person X

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person J

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person K

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person L

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person M

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person N

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person P

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Q

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person R

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person S

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person A

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person B

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person C

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person D

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person E

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person F

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person G

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person H

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person I

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Baigties nustatymo taisyklės

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.

Kaip suprasti šias tikimybes

Kiekviena kaina svyruoja nuo 0 iki 1 JAV dolerio ir gali būti suprantama kaip rinkos dalyvių numanoma baigties tikimybė: 0,62 JAV dolerio reiškia maždaug 62 %. Kainos kinta su kiekvienu sandoriu, todėl jos atspindi bendrą rinkos dalyvių vertinimą, o ne garantiją. Prieš pradėdami prekiauti, peržiūrėkite aukščiau pateiktas baigties nustatymo taisykles, patikrinkite prekybos apimtį bei likvidumą ir rizikuokite tik tais pinigais, kuriuos galite sau leisti prarasti.

Tikimybių skaičiuoklės · Terminų žodynas · Nemokami kursai

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