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ThePolyAcademy
LT

Next leader out of power before 2027?

{name}: tikimybės realiuoju laiku

  • None before 2027

    • Yes48%
    • No53%

    Volume $178.4K · Liquidity $58.9K

  • Netanyahu - Israel PM

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $164.1K · Liquidity $28.3K

  • Sánchez - Spanish PM

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $46.5K · Liquidity $37.3K

  • Lula da Silva - Brazil President

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $40.2K · Liquidity $31.2K

  • Xi - General Secretary of the CCP

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $36.8K · Liquidity $32.4K

  • Merz - German Chancellor

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $36.4K · Liquidity $24.8K

  • Zelenskyy - Ukraine President

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $31.9K · Liquidity $31.9K

  • Trump - USA President

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $31.4K · Liquidity $30.3K

  • Lecornu - France PM

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $31.3K · Liquidity $24.3K

  • Macron - France President

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $30.9K · Liquidity $30.8K

  • Díaz-Canel - Cuba President

    • Yes2%
    • No99%

    Volume $30K · Liquidity $28.1K

  • Erdoğan - Türkiye President

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $29.8K · Liquidity $27.2K

  • Newsom - California Governor

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $29.8K · Liquidity $27.1K

  • Albanese - Australia PM

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $29.5K · Liquidity $27.2K

  • Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $28.5K · Liquidity $27.7K

  • Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $27.4K · Liquidity $30.4K

  • Abbas - President of Palestine

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $27K · Liquidity $28.4K

  • Takaichi - Japan PM

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $26.5K · Liquidity $26K

  • Putin - Russia President

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $25.8K · Liquidity $37.1K

  • Sheinbaum - Mexico President

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $25.2K · Liquidity $24.3K

  • al-Sharaa - Syria President

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $23.7K · Liquidity $22.5K

  • Milei - Argentina President

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $23.6K · Liquidity $25.9K

Baigties nustatymo taisyklės

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Kaip suprasti šias tikimybes

Kiekviena kaina svyruoja nuo 0 iki 1 JAV dolerio ir gali būti suprantama kaip rinkos dalyvių numanoma baigties tikimybė: 0,62 JAV dolerio reiškia maždaug 62 %. Kainos kinta su kiekvienu sandoriu, todėl jos atspindi bendrą rinkos dalyvių vertinimą, o ne garantiją. Prieš pradėdami prekiauti, peržiūrėkite aukščiau pateiktas baigties nustatymo taisykles, patikrinkite prekybos apimtį bei likvidumą ir rizikuokite tik tais pinigais, kuriuos galite sau leisti prarasti.

Tikimybių skaičiuoklės · Terminų žodynas · Nemokami kursai

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