Iran leadership change by...?
{name}: tikimybės realiuoju laiku
December 31
- Yes12%
- No89%
Volume $5.2M · Liquidity $150.8K
April 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5M · Liquidity —
June 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.4M · Liquidity —
May 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $3.4M · Liquidity —
March 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $3.2M · Liquidity —
September 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.7M · Liquidity —
August 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.6M · Liquidity —
July 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.6M · Liquidity —
October 31
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $585.9K · Liquidity $74.6K
June 30, 2027
- Yes21%
- No80%
Volume $368.5K · Liquidity $59.2K
November 30
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $162.8K · Liquidity $124.4K
August 22
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $79.5K · Liquidity —
August 15
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $61.8K · Liquidity —
March 13
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume — · Liquidity —
Baigties nustatymo taisyklės
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Kaip suprasti šias tikimybes
Kiekviena kaina svyruoja nuo 0 iki 1 JAV dolerio ir gali būti suprantama kaip rinkos dalyvių numanoma baigties tikimybė: 0,62 JAV dolerio reiškia maždaug 62 %. Kainos kinta su kiekvienu sandoriu, todėl jos atspindi bendrą rinkos dalyvių vertinimą, o ne garantiją. Prieš pradėdami prekiauti, peržiūrėkite aukščiau pateiktas baigties nustatymo taisykles, patikrinkite prekybos apimtį bei likvidumą ir rizikuokite tik tais pinigais, kuriuos galite sau leisti prarasti.
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24h vol $164.5K · Ends 2026-11-04

