Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
{name}: tikimybės realiuoju laiku
October 10
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $2.9K · Liquidity —
October 12
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $2.6K · Liquidity —
October 18
- Yes79%
- No22%
Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $325
October 9
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $2.5K · Liquidity —
October 11
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $2.4K · Liquidity —
October 5
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $2.2K · Liquidity —
October 14
- Yes97%
- No3%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $658.6
October 2
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $2K · Liquidity —
October 31
- Yes91%
- No10%
Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $697.2
October 13
- Yes98%
- No2%
Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $526.1
October 6
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity —
October 25
- Yes85%
- No16%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $438.4
October 4
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $1K · Liquidity —
October 7
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $984.6 · Liquidity —
October 3
- Yes87%
- No13%
Volume $926.3 · Liquidity $1K
October 8
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $909.9 · Liquidity —
October 27
- Yes89%
- No11%
Volume $903 · Liquidity $514.6
October 24
- Yes90%
- No11%
Volume $825 · Liquidity $543.3
October 23
- Yes90%
- No11%
Volume $793.2 · Liquidity $663.4
October 26
- Yes90%
- No10%
Volume $789 · Liquidity $461.9
October 16
- Yes96%
- No5%
Volume $731.1 · Liquidity $693.6
October 15
- Yes91%
- No9%
Volume $591.3 · Liquidity $421.6
October 19
- Yes91%
- No10%
Volume $555.2 · Liquidity $425.3
October 17
- Yes90%
- No11%
Volume $492.6 · Liquidity $629.5
October 28
- Yes91%
- No10%
Volume $475.3 · Liquidity $364.9
October 29
- Yes93%
- No7%
Volume $452.2 · Liquidity $437.3
October 30
- Yes84%
- No16%
Volume $436.3 · Liquidity $266
October 20
- Yes90%
- No11%
Volume $345.5 · Liquidity $352.3
October 21
- Yes75%
- No26%
Volume $338.8 · Liquidity $222.5
October 22
- Yes89%
- No12%
Volume $281 · Liquidity $624
Baigties nustatymo taisyklės
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Kaip suprasti šias tikimybes
Kiekviena kaina svyruoja nuo 0 iki 1 JAV dolerio ir gali būti suprantama kaip rinkos dalyvių numanoma baigties tikimybė: 0,62 JAV dolerio reiškia maždaug 62 %. Kainos kinta su kiekvienu sandoriu, todėl jos atspindi bendrą rinkos dalyvių vertinimą, o ne garantiją. Prieš pradėdami prekiauti, peržiūrėkite aukščiau pateiktas baigties nustatymo taisykles, patikrinkite prekybos apimtį bei likvidumą ir rizikuokite tik tais pinigais, kuriuos galite sau leisti prarasti.
Daugiau Kultūra rinkų

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
Jon Ossoff: 97%
24h vol $5K · Ends 2026-10-31

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?
Flávio Bolsonaro: 85%
24h vol $4K · Ends 2026-10-31

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?
Save America Act: 94%
24h vol $3K · Ends 2026-10-13

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No: 68%
24h vol $58.2K · Ends 2027-08-01

Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?
Yes: 64%
24h vol $3.8K · Ends 2026-11-01

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
1000+: 85%
24h vol $11K · Ends 2026-11-01

"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
150 - 160m: 96%
24h vol $17.4K · Ends 2026-10-31

#2 Spotify Artist in October?
The Weeknd: 70%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 2026-10-31

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 24
The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore: 95%
24h vol $17.9K · Ends 2026-10-21

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?
200-219: 17%
24h vol $31.1K · Ends 2026-10-20

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 12 - October 18)
Midterm: 76%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends 2026-10-19

"Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office
<25m: 43%
24h vol $16.6K · Ends 2026-10-18

