Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
{name}: reaaliaikaiset todennäköisyydet
September 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $194.4K · Liquidity —
October 31
- Yes31%
- No69%
Volume $103.1K · Liquidity $43.6K
September 15
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $98.8K · Liquidity —
October 15
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $51.1K · Liquidity $20.5K
December 31
- Yes80%
- No20%
Volume $30.9K · Liquidity $40.1K
August 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $21.8K · Liquidity —
November 30
- Yes63%
- No38%
Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $43.7K
Markkinan ratkaisusäännöt
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Näin tulkitset näitä todennäköisyyksiä
Jokainen hinta on 0–1 dollaria, ja sen voi tulkita markkinoiden arvioksi tietyn lopputuloksen todennäköisyydestä: 0,62 dollaria tarkoittaa noin 62 %:n todennäköisyyttä. Hinnat muuttuvat jokaisen kaupan myötä, joten ne kuvastavat osallistujien yhteistä arviota eivätkä takaa lopputulosta. Tarkista ennen kaupankäyntiä yllä olevat ratkaisusäännöt, kaupankäynnin volyymi ja likviditeetti. Riskiin kannattaa asettaa vain rahaa, jonka voit menettää.
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