S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?
{name}: reaaliaikaiset todennäköisyydet
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?
- Up30%
- Down70%
Volume $15.5K · Liquidity $556.6
Markkinan ratkaisusäännöt
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, October 15, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, October 15, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: EMEA: ASIA:
Näin tulkitset näitä todennäköisyyksiä
Jokainen hinta on 0–1 dollaria, ja sen voi tulkita markkinoiden arvioksi tietyn lopputuloksen todennäköisyydestä: 0,62 dollaria tarkoittaa noin 62 %:n todennäköisyyttä. Hinnat muuttuvat jokaisen kaupan myötä, joten ne kuvastavat osallistujien yhteistä arviota eivätkä takaa lopputulosta. Tarkista ennen kaupankäyntiä yllä olevat ratkaisusäännöt, kaupankäynnin volyymi ja likviditeetti. Riskiin kannattaa asettaa vain rahaa, jonka voit menettää.
Lisää Talous-markkinoita

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 15?
$755: 99%
24h vol $21.8K · Ends 15.10.2026

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?
Down: 71%
24h vol $13K · Ends 15.10.2026

PPI YoY - September 2026
5.9%+: 100%
24h vol $10K · Ends 16.10.2026

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $765: 82%
24h vol $13.2K · Ends 16.10.2026

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $216: 91%
24h vol $9.6K · Ends 16.10.2026

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $57: 100%
24h vol $19.8K · Ends 16.10.2026

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $4,200: 49%
24h vol $14.5K · Ends 16.10.2026

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $90: 6%
24h vol $38.5K · Ends 16.10.2026

Meta headcount above __ in Q3?
66000: 86%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends 21.10.2026

Bank of Russia decision in October?
No Change: 92%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends 24.10.2026

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?
No change: 67%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends 27.10.2026

Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change: 79%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends 28.10.2026

