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ThePolyAcademy
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Elon Musk # tweets in November 2026?

{name}: reaaliaikaiset todennäköisyydet

  • 20-39

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • 40-59

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $859 · Liquidity $1.8K

  • 180-199

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $726.3 · Liquidity $1.5K

  • 200-219

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $648.3 · Liquidity $1.5K

  • 220-239

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $648.3 · Liquidity $1.4K

  • 240-259

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $648.3 · Liquidity $1.4K

  • 260-279

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $648.3 · Liquidity $1.4K

  • 300-319

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $648.3 · Liquidity $1.9K

  • 320-339

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $648.3 · Liquidity $1.8K

  • 340-359

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $648.3 · Liquidity $1.4K

  • 360-379

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $648.3 · Liquidity $1.4K

  • 380-399

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $648.3 · Liquidity $1.4K

  • 100-119

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $648.3 · Liquidity $1.4K

  • 120-139

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $648.3 · Liquidity $1.4K

  • 140-159

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $648.3 · Liquidity $1.4K

  • 160-179

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $648.3 · Liquidity $1.4K

  • 400-419

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $648.3 · Liquidity $1.5K

  • 280-299

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $648.3 · Liquidity $1.5K

  • 80-99

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $640 · Liquidity $1.5K

  • 60-79

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $640 · Liquidity $1.5K

  • 740-759

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $143.3 · Liquidity $1.6K

  • 780-799

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $134.9 · Liquidity $1.7K

  • 720-739

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $118.3 · Liquidity $1.3K

  • 760-779

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $118.3 · Liquidity $1.4K

  • 1000+

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $98.3 · Liquidity $1.6K

  • 960-999

    • Yes12%
    • No89%

    Volume $76.7 · Liquidity $1.6K

  • 800-839

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $60.3 · Liquidity $1.3K

  • 840-879

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $26.5 · Liquidity $1.6K

  • 640-659

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $18.3 · Liquidity $1.1K

  • 920-959

    • Yes10%
    • No91%

    Volume $18.3 · Liquidity $1.7K

  • 500-519

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $18.3 · Liquidity $1.6K

  • 600-619

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $18.3 · Liquidity $1.1K

  • 620-639

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $18.3 · Liquidity $1.1K

  • 660-679

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $18.3 · Liquidity $1.2K

  • 680-699

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $18.3 · Liquidity $1.3K

  • 700-719

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $18.3 · Liquidity $1.2K

  • <20

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $18.3 · Liquidity $1K

  • 420-439

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $18.3 · Liquidity $1.1K

  • 440-459

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $18.3 · Liquidity $1.2K

  • 460-479

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $18.3 · Liquidity $1.2K

  • 480-499

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $18.3 · Liquidity $1.2K

  • 520-539

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $18.3 · Liquidity $1.2K

  • 540-559

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $18.3 · Liquidity $1.2K

  • 560-579

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $18.3 · Liquidity $1.1K

  • 580-599

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $18.3 · Liquidity $1.1K

  • 880-919

    • Yes14%
    • No87%

    Volume $18.3 · Liquidity $1.3K

Markkinan ratkaisusäännöt

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of November 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Näin tulkitset näitä todennäköisyyksiä

Jokainen hinta on 0–1 dollaria, ja sen voi tulkita markkinoiden arvioksi tietyn lopputuloksen todennäköisyydestä: 0,62 dollaria tarkoittaa noin 62 %:n todennäköisyyttä. Hinnat muuttuvat jokaisen kaupan myötä, joten ne kuvastavat osallistujien yhteistä arviota eivätkä takaa lopputulosta. Tarkista ennen kaupankäyntiä yllä olevat ratkaisusäännöt, kaupankäynnin volyymi ja likviditeetti. Riskiin kannattaa asettaa vain rahaa, jonka voit menettää.

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