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Gemini 4.0 released by...?

{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas

  • September 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $644.2K · Liquidity —

  • October 31

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $243.5K · Liquidity $12.4K

  • October 15

    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $207.3K · Liquidity $5.3K

  • June 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $92.2K · Liquidity $0

  • August 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $61.7K · Liquidity —

  • November 30

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $54K · Liquidity $9K

  • October 10

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $39.9K · Liquidity —

  • October 14

    • Yes51%
    • No50%

    Volume $36.4K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • October 13

    • Yes31%
    • No70%

    Volume $26.2K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • October 16

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $24.8K · Liquidity $3K

  • July 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $19.1K · Liquidity —

  • October 12

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $15.5K · Liquidity $5.3K

  • October 23

    • Yes83%
    • No18%

    Volume $13.4K · Liquidity $6.3K

  • September 15

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $10.1K · Liquidity —

  • October 5

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $5.3K · Liquidity —

  • October 9

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $4.8K · Liquidity —

  • October 2

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.4K · Liquidity —

Tulemuse määramise reeglid

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada

Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.

Tõenäosuskalkulaatorid · Sõnastik · Tasuta kursused