Poliitika Prediction Markets
Valimised, seadusandlus ja poliitilised sündmused nii, nagu turg neid hindab.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Luca Niculescu: 59%
24h vol $23.2K · Ends 1. jaan 2028
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?
120-139: 52%
24h vol $21.1K · Ends 13. okt 2026
NY-23 House Election Winner
Nick Langworthy (R): 96%
24h vol $19.4K · Ends 4. nov 2026
MO-02 House Election Winner
Ann Wagner (R): 77%
24h vol $18.8K · Ends 4. nov 2026
Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?
December 31: 13%
24h vol $18.7K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
No Hormuz Agreement: 84%
24h vol $18.4K · Ends 4. nov 2026
GA-11 House Election Winner
John Cowan (R): 96%
24h vol $17.6K · Ends 4. nov 2026
Iowa Governor Election Winner
Rob Sand (D): 89%
24h vol $16.7K · Ends 4. nov 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No: 99%
24h vol $16.6K · Ends 1. nov 2026
Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?
October 31: 12%
24h vol $16.6K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará
Lula: 81%
24h vol $15.9K · Ends 26. okt 2026
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
Olivia Chow: 70%
24h vol $15.7K · Ends 27. okt 2026
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No: 76%
24h vol $14.5K · Ends 4. nov 2026
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No: 97%
24h vol $13.7K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro: 71%
24h vol $13.1K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?
No Hormuz Agreement; R Senate: 31%
24h vol $13K · Ends 4. nov 2026
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D): 62%
24h vol $12.8K · Ends 4. nov 2026
Alabama Governor Election Winner
Tommy Tuberville (R): 93%
24h vol $12.7K · Ends 4. nov 2026
Arizona Governor Election Winner
Katie Hobbs (D): 89%
24h vol $12.6K · Ends 4. nov 2026
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 31: 53%
24h vol $11.6K · Ends 31. dets 2026
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?
Yes: 92%
24h vol $11.5K · Ends 4. nov 2026
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31, 2026: 46%
24h vol $11.4K · Ends 31. dets 2026
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?
200+: 25%
24h vol $11K · Ends 16. okt 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
No: 94%
24h vol $10.8K · Ends 1. dets 2026
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
47–49 and 193–207: 25%
24h vol $10.6K · Ends 4. nov 2026
HI-02 House Election Winner
Jill Tokuda (D): 96%
24h vol $10.5K · Ends 4. nov 2026
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
November 30: 57%
24h vol $10.5K · Ends 30. nov 2026
Trump out as President before 2027?
No: 96%
24h vol $10.3K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
No: 94%
24h vol $10.3K · Ends 1. nov 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?
No: 99%
24h vol $10.3K · Ends 1. nov 2026
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Pete Ricketts (R): 73%
24h vol $10K · Ends 4. nov 2026
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
No Meeting by December 31: 53%
24h vol $9.6K · Ends 31. dets 2026
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le Pen: 89%
24h vol $9.3K · Ends 19. apr 2027
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by...?
December 31: 78%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
No: 78%
24h vol $8.9K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Ilhan Omar arrested by...?
December 31: 20%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
December 31: 23%
24h vol $8.5K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate: 51%
24h vol $8.5K · Ends 4. nov 2026
Maine Senate Election Winner
Troy Jackson (D): 60%
24h vol $8.3K · Ends 4. nov 2026
OH-14 House Election Winner
David Joyce (R): 96%
24h vol $8.3K · Ends 4. nov 2026
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Abbas Araghchi: 43%
24h vol $8.2K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Yes: 77%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends 4. nov 2026
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra: 96%
24h vol $7.3K · Ends 4. nov 2026
NY-24 House Election Winner
Claudia Tenney (R): 97%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends 4. nov 2026
NM-02 House Election Winner
Gabe Vasquez (D): 92%
24h vol $7K · Ends 4. nov 2026
TX-26 House Election Winner
Brandon Gill (R): 97%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends 4. nov 2026
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?
200+: 19%
24h vol $6.6K · Ends 20. okt 2026
GA-09 House Election Winner
Andrew Clyde (R): 96%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends 4. nov 2026