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ThePolyAcademy
ET

Who will be arrested before 2027?

{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas

  • Anthony Fauci

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $199.3K · Liquidity $51.7K

  • Tom Homan

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $48.1K · Liquidity $13.7K

  • Gavin Newsom

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $42.7K · Liquidity $67.8K

  • Hillary Clinton

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $36.5K · Liquidity $104.8K

  • John Brennan

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $34.4K · Liquidity $14.8K

  • José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $31.5K · Liquidity $20.8K

  • Barack Obama

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $30.8K · Liquidity $98.6K

  • James Comey

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $20.7K · Liquidity $16.2K

  • Adam Schiff

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $18.9K · Liquidity $54.8K

  • James Clapper

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $9.6K · Liquidity $16.4K

  • Joe Biden

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $9.1K · Liquidity $35K

  • Letitia James

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $6.4K · Liquidity $20.2K

  • Loretta Lynch

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $69.6K

  • Benjamin Netanyahu

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $4.5K · Liquidity $21.6K

  • Mahmoud Khalil

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $457.1

  • Bill Clinton

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $87.6K

  • Lisa Cook

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $14.5K

  • Brandon Johnson

    • Yes8%
    • No93%

    Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $14.2K

  • Pam Bondi

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $19.3K

  • Susan Rice

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $20.6K

  • Lee Jun-seok

    • Yes47%
    • No53%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $70.5

  • Kash Patel

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $626.6 · Liquidity $30.6K

  • John Kerry

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $503.5 · Liquidity $47.9K

  • Candace Owens

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $342.3 · Liquidity $423.1

Tulemuse määramise reeglid

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada

Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.

Tõenäosuskalkulaatorid · Sõnastik · Tasuta kursused

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