Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas
↑ 6.30%
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $29.4K · Liquidity —
↓ 5.70%
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $12.4K · Liquidity $807.3
↓ 5.90%
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $11.6K · Liquidity $351.9
↓ 6.50%
- Yes20%
- No80%
Volume $11.6K · Liquidity $211.5
↑ 7.00%
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $8K · Liquidity —
↑ 6.50%
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $6.9K · Liquidity —
↑ 6.75%
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $5.5K · Liquidity —
↓ 6.00%
- Yes5%
- No96%
Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $524.3
↑ 7.25%
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $3.3K · Liquidity —
↓ 5.50%
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $3K · Liquidity $143.8
↓ 6.25%
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $93.2
↑ 7.50%
- Yes55%
- No46%
Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $179.7
↓ 6.00%
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $672.5 · Liquidity $0
↑ 6.20%
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume — · Liquidity —
Tulemuse määramise reeglid
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada
Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.
Veel turge teemal Majandus

What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on December 31?
$323K - $327K: 26%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends 11. jaan 2027

What will the median home value in Miami be on December 31?
$809K - $830K: 33%
24h vol $919.2 · Ends 11. jaan 2027

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T: 86%
24h vol $62.6K · Ends 5. jaan 2027

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 53%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends 27. jaan 2027

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX: 64%
24h vol $15.8K · Ends 2. jaan 2027

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 63%
24h vol $5.4K · Ends 28. jaan 2027

Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026: 77%
24h vol $146.8K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 87%
24h vol $68.9K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 97%
24h vol $26.8K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Crude Oil all time high by...?
March 31, 2027: 24%
24h vol $14.8K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 69%
24h vol $12.6K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

IPOs before 2027?
Anthropic: 76%
24h vol $10K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

