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Will gas hit __ by end of October?

{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas

  • ↓ $4.30

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $4.1K · Liquidity —

  • ↑ $4.80

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $800 · Liquidity $107.4

  • ↓ $3.80

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $326.8 · Liquidity $672

  • ↑ $4.50

    • Yes48%
    • No53%

    Volume $166.7 · Liquidity $22.1

  • ↓ $4.20

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume — · Liquidity $47.6

  • ↓ $4.00

    • Yes24%
    • No77%

    Volume — · Liquidity $339.4

  • ↑ $4.60

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume — · Liquidity $89.2

  • ↑ $4.70

    • Yes19%
    • No82%

    Volume — · Liquidity $127.2

Tulemuse määramise reeglid

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and October 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.907, this market will use $3.90 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada

Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.

Tõenäosuskalkulaatorid · Sõnastik · Tasuta kursused