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Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas

  • Josh Hawley

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $37.5K · Liquidity $19.5K

  • Mark Warner

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $37.5K · Liquidity $11.1K

  • Mike Lee

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $30.2K · Liquidity $12K

  • Ruben Gallego

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $28K · Liquidity $12.1K

  • Jacky Rosen

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $26.2K · Liquidity $16K

  • Thom Tillis

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $25.7K · Liquidity $4K

  • Rand Paul

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $24K · Liquidity $9.8K

  • Jerry Moran

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $15.2K · Liquidity $8.5K

  • John Fetterman

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $12.9K · Liquidity $10.5K

  • Alex Padilla

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $9.5K · Liquidity $20.4K

  • Catherine Cortez Masto

    • Yes10%
    • No91%

    Volume $7.8K · Liquidity $7.2K

  • Kirsten Gillibrand

    • Yes8%
    • No93%

    Volume $7.1K · Liquidity $9.7K

  • Lisa Blunt Rochester

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $6.1K · Liquidity $19.1K

  • Andy Kim

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $4K · Liquidity $8.7K

  • Raphael Warnock

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $9.8K

Tulemuse määramise reeglid

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Senator votes "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: The qualifying vote is the first vote on final passage of the bill in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment. This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, or if the named Senator does not vote "Yea" on the qualifying vote for any reason - including voting "Nay," voting "Present," being absent, being paired, or no longer serving in the Senate at the time of the vote. Once the vote has closed and the result has been announced, any subsequent request by the named Senator to add, remove, or change their vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally. This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate ( and Library of Congress (

Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada

Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.

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