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ThePolyAcademy
BN

Closest Senate Race?

{name}: সরাসরি আপডেট হওয়া সম্ভাবনা

  • Kansas

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $30.4K

  • South Carolina

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $25.2K

  • Texas

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $15.8K

  • Iowa

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $14.9K

  • Arkansas

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $16.8K

  • Maine

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $24.6K

  • Minnesota

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $2.8K

  • Alaska

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $25K

  • Mississippi

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $895.8 · Liquidity $3.2K

  • Florida (Special)

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $767.8 · Liquidity $12.8K

  • Nebraska

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $760.3 · Liquidity $26.3K

  • Idaho

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $653.8 · Liquidity $2.9K

  • Michigan

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $562.3 · Liquidity $11.8K

  • Ohio (Special)

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $523.5 · Liquidity $29.5K

  • South Dakota

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $419.9 · Liquidity $11.2K

  • Louisiana

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $269.1 · Liquidity $24.8K

  • Kentucky

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $239.1 · Liquidity $13.7K

  • Oklahoma

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22.3K

  • Oregon

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22.3K

  • Colorado

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22.2K

  • New Mexico

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22.2K

  • Georgia

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22.3K

  • Massachusetts

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22.3K

  • Tennessee

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22.3K

  • New Jersey

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22.3K

  • West Virginia

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22.1K

  • New Hampshire

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $24.8K

  • Alabama

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $23.2K

  • Delaware

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22.2K

  • Illinois

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $22.2K

  • Montana

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $24.7K

  • Rhode Island

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $21.4K

  • North Carolina

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $24.7K

  • Virginia

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $223 · Liquidity $23.2K

  • Wyoming

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $219.1 · Liquidity $21.3K

  • State L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • State M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • State N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • State O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • State K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

ফলাফল নির্ধারণের নিয়ম

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically. This market will consider all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

এই সম্ভাবনাগুলো কীভাবে বুঝবেন

প্রতিটি দাম $0 থেকে $1-এর মধ্যে থাকে এবং কোনো ফলাফল ঘটার সম্ভাবনা সম্পর্কে বাজারের ধারণা হিসেবে এটিকে বোঝা যায়: $0.62 মানে প্রায় 62% সম্ভাবনা। প্রতিটি ট্রেডের সঙ্গে দাম বদলায়, তাই এগুলো অংশগ্রহণকারীদের সম্মিলিত অনুমান, কোনো নিশ্চয়তা নয়। ট্রেড করার আগে উপরের ফলাফল নির্ধারণের নিয়ম, লেনদেনের পরিমাণ ও তারল্য যাচাই করুন। আর শুধু ততটুকু অর্থই ঝুঁকিতে রাখুন, যতটুকু হারানোর সামর্থ্য আপনার আছে।

সম্ভাবনা গণনার ক্যালকুলেটর · পরিভাষা · বিনামূল্যের কোর্স

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